Today we posted our usual article that included a brief look at the World Series game ahead, our takes on the outcome and what our DraftKings showdown lineup was going to be. I’d like to bring back three quotes from that article briefly:
While Urquidy was not able to fan 10 batters on this particular outing, he did strikeout 4 over 5 innings while only giving up 2 hits and walking no one. On the other side Corbin went 6 innings, gave up 7 hits and 4 runs (refer to previous article) and struck out 5. This was good enough for Corbin to get us a few points, and Urquidy to grab the W with ease.
I shouldn’t have included any of my own story in this as Correa said it all. Bregman was due to have a monster game, but a GRAND SLAM?! That was just icing on the cake, ESPECIALLY because he was gifted the opportunity in Game 3 and did nothing. What a bounce back for Bregman.
I said Corbin had a knack to give up 4-5 runs per game and that I wanted to stack the Astros. Chirinos and Marisnick were cheap and allowed me to do so. I talked a little smack about their inability to go deep, so Chirinos had to prove me wrong once again – they combined for 4 hits, 1 Home Run, 1 Double, 2 RBI’s, 1 Stolen Base, 1 Run and 1 walk. Total they cost $9400 on DK and put up 34 DK Points! HOLY SMOKE SHOW. That was absolute icing on the cake after building with Urquidy and Bregman.
The only downside of this contest was that we actually tied for first so instead of cashing out for $5,000, we had to settle for $4,000. But that still means new kitchen counter tops for my wife which makes her happy, me happy and allows us to keep this blog rolling in full force.
As always tonight the goal was to get rich, or get drunk trying.
We got plenty drunk! And took one step closer to getting rich.
The Astros went into Game 3 being down 0-2 with not much going for them. They went on to play small ball and string together 4 runs while only giving up 1 to give them their first win of this World Series. 3 of those 4 runs came on 1-run singles and Chirinos was the only one to go yard this game. The pitching wasn’t top-notch with 20 total hits in the game, but the score stayed low. Tonight Houston turns to their bullpen to try to even things up against Patrick Corbin
Corbin put up 27.1 DK points in his last start even with giving up 4 runs on 4 hits and walking 3. He accomplished this against the Cardinals by striking out 12 over 5 innings – his most strikeouts in over a month since he fanned 11 in his previous start against the Cardinals. Corbin isn’t a stranger to giving up hits and runs but his strikeout potential will more than make up for the those.
Urquidy is getting the ball for the Astros and has the potential to get them amped up to start this game. He has the potential to go 5+ innings and has shown that he can strikeout in the double digits. He costs $2600 less than Corbin on DraftKings and has the potential to match him in points – especially with extra points for getting the W.
Our Captain choice is hand downs Urquidy for this game. Being able to roster a pitcher with the potential go 6 inning and strikeout 10 for a captain cost of $11,700 is incredible and will allow us to spend up for a couple big bats. With Corbin’s potential to give up 4 or 5 runs during his stint, this gives Urquidy a perfect opportunity to earn the W while racking up points along the way.
Did you miss what I said about Corbin being able to put up 27 points even though he gives up 4 runs? He is hands down our first lock for the rest of our roster. Next up is Alex Bregman. Bregman has been quiet lately, and failed to do anything with the bases loaded last night. The Nationals intentionally walked Brantley to get to Bregman and the Astros bench went a little nuts. Clearly disrespectful to Bregman who was already been feeling the pressure, but still unable to perform. I don’t see that lasting long and neither do his teammates. Check out what Correa had to say about the situation
With Corbin’s ability to give up runs, and the Astros need to prove that their regular season wasn’t a fluke – I want to stack the Astros bats and Chirinos and Marisnick allow me to do just that for cheap. While neither are known for going deep (outside of Chirinos last night) – both will have the ability to drive in runs, or draw walks to set up the big boys up front. This will also let us plug in Altuve as our last batter of the evening and have a nice balance with the 2, 4, 7 and 8 slots in the Houston lineup.
Look for Houston to tie this thing up, and us to get back on a winning streak with DraftKings.
Drink of the Game
Happy National Trick-or-Treat night!
Yes, that is just as stupid as it sounds. Today’s kids have no clue what it’s like going door-to-door, talking to strangers, getting loads of free candy and doing it all on a school night! They have to go trick-or-treating while it’s light out and on the weekends and have their candy checked for marijuana (or is that just Colorado?)
Either way, tonight we are celebrating with Halloween-themed drinks and we are going big tonight as we get rich, or get drunk trying:
No one thought the Astros would be down 0-2 heading to the nation’s Capital after putting Cole and Verlander on the mound to start the World Series. Yet here we are, staring down memory lane and having flashbacks to 2007 and the “what-ifs” that came with Rockies miraculous run to the show. Should we factor history into our DraftKings lineups tonight, or focus on the stats and probabilities? I’m going with the latter, and I think Houston takes a step forward tonight.
Greinke is taking the mound for the Astros and will going up against Sanchez who made a surprising performance against the Cardinals in Game 1 of the NLCS where he pitched 7.2 innings of 1 hit ball.
Greinke’s postseason started off rocky when he got lit up by Tampa Bay for 6 runs on 5 hits (3 home runs). His next two starts were more consistent, giving up 10 hits and 4 runs over 10.1 innings against the Yankees. Greinke has the potential to rack up double digit strikeouts, and the Nationals are no strangers to K’s this postseason. Greinke has the chance to show his old self tonight, and even if he doesn’t get the W – I think he puts on a show.
Sanchez has had a great postseason allowing just 5 hits and 1 run over 12.2 innings of ball. He struck out 9 against the Dodgers and 5 against the Cardinals and is definitely capable of going deep into the contest. He seems to have found his groove and settled in, and is a lock for tonight’s contest.
I do not want to go into too much detail about the batters because I will be starting one pitcher at captain and using the other pitcher in FLEX. This will not leave much salary for the remaining 4 positions, so I likely won’t be spending up on a Soto, or Springer. If you use a batter a captain, or go for value to try and save some money at the CPT spot – you will likely need a HR to make it worth it.
Contest Selection and Captain
As always – Single entry contests tonight. I am going to throw this lineup in a few because I am feeling good about it. One has 11 entries, one has 55 and one has 135. This mean Captain selection will either put you in the running, or keep you from being able to cash. Period. I’m rolling with Greinke – High strikeout potential. Knows the situation, and can execute.
We did it again! Using the relief pitched method ending up paying off for us late in the game when Doolittle came in and retired 4 straight with one strike out. This allowed us to jump up into a nice cash for the smaller contest, though we stayed 1 place out of the cash line on the larger contest. This is a nice example to show that sometimes, the smaller single entry contests can be valuable. The pitching wasn’t as locked down as we thought it would be thanks to Soto, but we still managed with Cole as the captain. We will see you again with another Showdown lineup for Game 3 on Friday.
It doesn’t matter if you were there. It doesn’t matter you were watching. It doesn’t matter if you even care about baseball. Hearing this call will give you chills. If you were there…if you were watching… and you do care… I can only imagine the emotion it brings out.
World Series Showdown Game 1
Baseball in October is something that doesn’t mean much to me. As a Rockies fan, we haven’t had a whole lot of experience in this area. I was a sophomore in high school during Rocktober 2007 which gave me enough of a taste to understand the history, the tradition, the chase and the ensuing agony of defeat. I remember that feeling, and it won’t be coming back tonight… let’s get to game 1.
That feeling in poker when you peek at your cards and see two Aces is tough to describe. Your heart rate increases, you can feel your face becoming flush (no pun intended) and your mind starts to calculate how you want to proceed… Welcome to the World Series Showdown Game 1.
Gerrit Cole vs. Max Scherzer will kick things off and this is tee’d up to be an absolute pitchers duel. Cole has pitched 22.2 innings this post-season giving up only 1 run while striking out 32. In the other dugout, Scherzer has pitched an even 20 innings this post season giving up only 4 runs while striking out 27. Between the two pitchers, all 5 runs have come from giving up home runs. One for Cole and 3 for Scherzer. You can’t have a lineup that doesn’t include either Cole or Scherzer as your Captain tonight AND have the other pitcher in one of your FLEX spots. The winning lineup is going to come down to whoever has the batter that steps up and takes one of the Aces deep.
It’s a coin flip. Both pitchers are priced so close that your lineup won’t change much depending on who is in the CPT spot. I believe that Cole will out perform Scherzer tonight in the K department which will give a little more flexibility if he does happen to give up a HR so I’m going with Cole and my Captain.
Like I mentioned, my first lock would be whatever pitcher I did not use in my CPT spot. Scherzer is in. This leaves us with $20.6k to fill the remaining 4 roster spots. Both pitchers have given up an average of 3 hits per game, so we need to find those opportunities. A lot of lineups will try to use a relief a pitcher to save salary and stack a bigger name, and in this situation, I can’t say I’m opposed. Here is my lineup without using a relief pitcher:
Not too bad. You get the 2 and 3 hitters from opposite teams paired with someone on each deeper in the lineup. It spreads out the potential to snag points from a hit, a walk, etc. but not necessarily to correlate your scoring on a play like say, a two-run home run. All relief pitchers are priced at 3k which gives a little extra room to play with our lineup. Here we gain some correlation between our Houston batters and lose both of our deep lineup guys:
I don’t hate this lineup – but it does limit your offensive possibilities to a degree. Doolittle isn’t going to come in a strike out 6 batters to close the game, you’re just hoping he doesn’t get taken yard on his first pitch and get yanked immediately (if he even comes in at all).
I am going to roll with the relief pitcher lineup tonight because I think hits will be so limited that you need to have a piece of that action to cash, and I think Gurriel has a better shot of putting up points than Reddick and Zimmerman combined.
I will be playing in two single entry contests for the World Series Showdown this evening. The first with 20 entries and the second with 113. I fully expect Cole and Scherzer to be owned in 100% of entries in both contests and I would not be shocked to see Cole as the CPT in 100% of the 20 entry contest and 90% in the 113 entry contest.
Drink of the Game
Jim Beam Rye Whiskey and Coke – If the first inning turns into a Cardinals fiasco, the coke might become optional.
We have made it folks. Game 1 of the Fall Classic is in Houston starting at 8:08 ET.
Max Scherzer: 2-0 1.80 ERA
Gerrit Cole: 3-0 0.40 ERA
This World Series features the biggest underdog since the 2007 Rockies. So if that has you swayed towards betting Houston, I wouldn’t blame you one bit, but there is always the “what if”. The glimmer of hope for Nationals fans/betters, the Astros hit .179 as a team in the ALCS with some VERY timely hitting. Sup Altuve? Does that trend continue?
One bet I particularly like is the UNDER tonight. Just looking at the Astros abysmal batting average vs the Yankees and the Nats coming off a long break.
Obviously being such heavy favorites, the Astros have half the team favored for World Series MVP. If you like betting favorites, you cannot go wrong with Altuve or Cole who has been nearly untouchable. If you believe in the Nats, the only way they are winning is because of Scherzer or Rendon. Scherzer has one appearance out of the bullpen this off season, only one inning but it shows they are likely to go to him on short rest. Rendon is the hot bat in the lineup hitting .414 this post season with a dinger and 13 RBIs.
I’ll be taking in the Fall Classic while drinking a Classic Coors Banquet. Cannot go wrong with that Rocky Mountain Water.